Your Seller’s Competition May Be a Brand-New Home
Good morning, NREB readers.
As always, we’re here to keep real estate professionals informed while cutting out the fluff. Let’s get right into it.
Your seller wants to know what the house down the street sold for. Fair question.
But the buyer touring their home Saturday may also be visiting a new-home community Sunday. That buyer is comparing the choices available now, including any builder discounts, closing-cost help, and move-in dates.
This week’s builder report is a reason to take that second stop seriously.

More builders are cutting prices
The October NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index found that 43% of surveyed builders reported cutting prices, the highest share during the 2020–2026 period. The average reported reduction was 6%.
Meanwhile, 65% reported using sales incentives. Builder confidence fell three points to 29.
Those figures describe a national builder survey. They do not mean 43% of new homes are discounted, that prices nationally fell 6%, or that every builder will negotiate.
The practical implication for agents is local: where new construction competes for the same buyers as existing homes, a resale-only view of the market can miss part of the decision.
A builder’s offer does not have to make its home the cheapest property to make it worth considering. It might address something the buyer is struggling with, such as cash needed at closing or finding a home that fits their move-in schedule.
That is worth knowing before a seller dismisses new construction as “a different market.”
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Compare the home they can actually buy
A community’s advertised starting price is a starting point for questions.
Before treating it as competition, find out what a buyer can purchase at that price. Which home or floor plan? Which lot? What finishes are included? Is it finished, under construction, or still to be built?
Then look at the offer’s conditions.
Availability: Does the promotion apply to the homes your buyer would consider?
Timing: Is there a contract or closing deadline, and can the buyer realistically meet it?
Financing: Does the incentive depend on a particular lender or loan, and what are the complete terms?
Ownership costs: What taxes, insurance, association dues, or other assessments belong in the comparison?
A headline discount is not enough to answer those questions. Get the applicable terms in writing.
For financing comparisons, the CFPB recommends reviewing Loan Estimates from multiple lenders. Compare the loan terms, lender charges, total payment, and cash to close. An attractive advertised rate does not settle the whole comparison.
The point is to find out whether the builder’s offer is a real alternative for this buyer, rather than either accepting or dismissing it at face value.
For sellers, this is context before it is a price cut
A national builder statistic is not a reason to tell every homeowner to lower their price.
Your seller may have advantages the nearby community cannot offer: a shorter commute, an established yard, a larger lot, a particular layout, or a location the buyer prefers.
Make those differences specific. “Better location” is easy to say. Showing how the property fits the buyer’s actual priorities is more useful.
It also helps to separate two questions:
What do comparable closed sales tell us about value?
What alternatives can a buyer choose instead today?
Closed sales remain important evidence. Current competition helps explain the choices buyers face while your listing is on the market. A builder’s promotional package is relevant to that second question without automatically becoming an equivalent comparable sale.
If buyers are repeatedly choosing the same nearby community, ask what is winning them over. Price may be the issue. So might condition, layout, timing, or the upfront cash requirement.
Knowing which one matters gives the seller a better basis for deciding what, if anything, to change.
One useful update for your next listing conversation
Before the next seller update, look beyond the usual resale list.
Identify a nearby new-home community that genuinely overlaps with your listing’s likely buyers. Confirm an available home, its actual price, the applicable incentive, and the expected completion date.
If there is no meaningful overlap, leave it out. Geography alone does not make two homes competitors.
If there is, bring that information into the conversation alongside the resale inventory and recent sales. You do not need a prediction about the entire housing market. You need an accurate picture of what this week’s buyer can choose.
Your listing is competing for a buyer’s decision. Make sure you know the other homes in that decision.
Sources
National Association of Home Builders: October 2026 Housing Market Index. Builder confidence, reported price reductions, and use of sales incentives.
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau: Loan Estimate Explainer. Comparing loan terms, lender charges, monthly payments, and cash to close.
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